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Wednesday, December 15th, 2010 03:56 pm
40% of physicians said they would drop out of patient care in the next one to three years, either by retiring, seeking a non-clinical job within healthcare, or by seeking a non-healthcare related job.

Фигасе - 40%. Это довольно сурово. Т.е. некоторая часть из них - естественная убыль, восполняемая новыми студентами, но не 40% же. В США сейчас чуть меньше миллиона докторов, в медицинские школы поступает 18 тысяч в год, т.е. если все они станут докторами, то за 3 года это будет 54000, или где-то 6%. Ну, допустим, ещё иммигранты, но это капля в море.
Или речь только о primary care physicians? Таковых 350 тыщ, всё равно убыль в 150 тыщ.
Ну и:

The majority of physicians (60%) said health reform will compel them to close or significantly restrict their practices to certain categories of patients. Of these, 93% said they will be forced to close or significantly restrict their practices to Medicaid patients, while 87% said they would be forced to close or significantly restrict their practices to Medicare patients.

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