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Недавно мы слышали, как статистики победно отрапортовали о значительном достижении в деле снижения безработицы:
On Oct. 11, the federal government reported that weekly jobless claims were down significantly, suggesting a dramatic national increase in economic growth and a steep decline in layoffs. Jobless claims, according to the Labor Department, had fallen by 30,000 to 339,000, their lowest level since February 2008.
Но произошла неприятность - оказалось, что Калифорния позабыла отчитаться о всех безработных, и на самом деле картина вовсе не так радужна:
Early Thursday, the federal government finally revealed that California had, in fact, under-reported jobless data, skewing the national jobless claims results. This week’s updated jobs report corrected the error and showed unemployment claims spiking back up by 46,000 to 388,000.
Или, как говорит NYT:
The unemployment rate fell, from 8.1 percent in August to 7.8 percent last month, a welcome drop, though it appears to be partly due to a statistical fluke and partly to more part-time employment, which is better than no work, but hardly the sign of a reliably robust job market.
Подозреваю, однако, что количество людей, узнавших из прессы, что Обама наконец-то победил безработицу, будет изрядно больше количества людей, узнавших из той же прессы, что это был statistical fluke.
On Oct. 11, the federal government reported that weekly jobless claims were down significantly, suggesting a dramatic national increase in economic growth and a steep decline in layoffs. Jobless claims, according to the Labor Department, had fallen by 30,000 to 339,000, their lowest level since February 2008.
Но произошла неприятность - оказалось, что Калифорния позабыла отчитаться о всех безработных, и на самом деле картина вовсе не так радужна:
Early Thursday, the federal government finally revealed that California had, in fact, under-reported jobless data, skewing the national jobless claims results. This week’s updated jobs report corrected the error and showed unemployment claims spiking back up by 46,000 to 388,000.
Или, как говорит NYT:
The unemployment rate fell, from 8.1 percent in August to 7.8 percent last month, a welcome drop, though it appears to be partly due to a statistical fluke and partly to more part-time employment, which is better than no work, but hardly the sign of a reliably robust job market.
Подозреваю, однако, что количество людей, узнавших из прессы, что Обама наконец-то победил безработицу, будет изрядно больше количества людей, узнавших из той же прессы, что это был statistical fluke.
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