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Помните, как CBO оценивало успех стимулюса, перезапуская те же модели на тех же данных?
Ну так вот, они, наконец, добрались до новых данных об успехах за 2010 год. Успехи оказались такие:
The new report finds, for example, that the stimulus may have added as little as 0.7% to GDP growth in 2010 — when spending was at its peak — and created as few as 700,000 new jobs.
Both are down significantly from the CBO's previous worst-case scenario.
/.../
All this comes after the CBO increased that price tag to $825 billion from its initial $787 billion — a 5% hike.
Обнаружилась ещё одна внезапная беда, которую никак нельзя было предвидеть:
In addition, the CBO says the extra infrastructure money didn't boost growth as much as it previously claimed, because states reacted by spending less out of their own budgets on highways.
И вдобавок:
Adding insult to injury, the new report also says the stimulus will hurt economic growth in the long run because of "the resulting increase in government debt." Each dollar of additional debt, it reports, "crowds out about a third of a dollar's worth of private domestic capital."
Там просто какие-то экстремисты засели. Куда они подевали тех энтузиастов, которые ещё 2 года назад рапортовали нам об повсеместных успехах и триумфальной поступи recovery.gov?
Ну так вот, они, наконец, добрались до новых данных об успехах за 2010 год. Успехи оказались такие:
The new report finds, for example, that the stimulus may have added as little as 0.7% to GDP growth in 2010 — when spending was at its peak — and created as few as 700,000 new jobs.
Both are down significantly from the CBO's previous worst-case scenario.
/.../
All this comes after the CBO increased that price tag to $825 billion from its initial $787 billion — a 5% hike.
Обнаружилась ещё одна внезапная беда, которую никак нельзя было предвидеть:
In addition, the CBO says the extra infrastructure money didn't boost growth as much as it previously claimed, because states reacted by spending less out of their own budgets on highways.
И вдобавок:
Adding insult to injury, the new report also says the stimulus will hurt economic growth in the long run because of "the resulting increase in government debt." Each dollar of additional debt, it reports, "crowds out about a third of a dollar's worth of private domestic capital."
Там просто какие-то экстремисты засели. Куда они подевали тех энтузиастов, которые ещё 2 года назад рапортовали нам об повсеместных успехах и триумфальной поступи recovery.gov?
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Adding insult to injury, the new report also says the stimulus will hurt economic growth in the long run because of "the resulting increase in government debt."
То, что они открыли для себя рикардиан эквиваленс не может не радовать... :) Может быть, со временем, откроют treasury view и закон Сэя... :).
переметнулись